Scientists at EPFL (École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne) have developed a climate model rating system and classified climate model outputs generated by the global climate community and included in the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report.   The tool evaluates the climate models and reveals that some predict a much hotter future due to high carbon sensitivity, suggesting current emission reduction efforts may be inadequate.   They find that roughly a third of the models are not doing a good job at reproducing existing sea surface temperature data, a third are robust but are not particularly sensitive to carbon emissions, while the other third predicts much stronger heating than the most probable IPCC estimate and are also “plausible and should be taken seriously”.  

École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL). "Could Climate Change Be Worse Than We Thought? New Models Say Yes". SciTechDaily. October 24, 2024. https://scitechdaily.com/... (Contributed by Gregory Autin).

Posted on 03/04/25

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